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    Stream Notes – Ep. 44 – Political ASMR – analysis on tariffs, Kristi Noem is an OG

    Let’s kick this off with data – data on the tariffs. We’re not going from 0 to 25, there were already a number of tariffs already in place, especially when it comes to China. So when inflation ran wild, and the country desperately needed relief from the expansionary actions taken by Biden, why did they keep the China tariffs in place?

    For full context, here is the before and after on specific product / services from China with respect to tariffs:

    Product CategoryTariff Before 2025Tariff After 2025
    Electric Vehicles (EVs)25%100%
    Semiconductors25%50%
    Solar Cells25%50%
    Steel and Aluminum Products7.5%25%
    Medical and Surgical Gloves7.5%25%
    Agricultural Products10-25%10-25%
    Consumer Electronics15-25%15-25%
    Textiles and Apparel10-25%10-25%
    Machinery and Industrial Equipment20-25%20-25%
    Automotive Parts25%25%
    Furniture and Home Goods10-25%10-25%
    Chemicals and Plastics15-25%15-25%
    Toys and Games10-25%10-25%
    Medical Devices15-25%15-25%
    Metals and Minerals10-25%10-25%
    Pharmaceuticals10-25%10-25%
    Food and Beverages10-25%10-25%
    Paper and Printing Products10-25%10-25%
    Sporting Goods10-25%10-25%
    Building Materials10-25%10-25%

    Here are the rates from

    From Mexico to the U.S.

    ProductTariff PercentageStatus
    Automobiles and Auto Parts25%New
    Agricultural Products25%New
    Textiles and Clothing25%New
    Liquor25%New
    Steel and Aluminum10%Pre-existing
    Electronics15%New
    Footwear20%New
    Furniture10%New

    From Canada to the U.S.

    ProductTariff PercentageStatus
    Automobiles and Auto Parts25%New
    Liquor25%New
    Energy Products10%New
    Lumber25%New
    Dairy Products25%New
    Steel and Aluminum10%Pre-existing
    Pharmaceuticals5%Pre-existing
    Paper Products15%Pre-existing

    Summary of data by country:

    CountryTotal ImportsAverage Tariff Rate
    Mexico$398 billion25%
    Canada$393 billion25%
    China$575 billion25%
    Country (Revenue to US via Tariffs)Amount
    Revenue from Mexico$99.5 billion
    Revenue from Canada$98.25 billion
    Revenue from China$143.75 billion
    Total Estimated Revenue$341.5 billion

    Think about that in terms of the overall US budget:

    2025 U.S. Federal Budget Breakdown

    CategoryAmount (in trillions)
    Social Security$1.35
    National Defense & Veterans$1.13
    Transfers to States$1.09
    Medicare$0.85
    Health Care$0.75
    Education$0.30
    Welfare$0.25
    Interest on Debt$0.45
    Other Spending$1.20
    Total$7.37

    Robert Lighthizer, former U.S. Trade Representative under President Trump, has been a strong advocate for the use of tariffs as a tool to achieve several economic and strategic goals. Here are some key points summarizing his views on the benefits of tariffs:

    1. Leverage in Trade Negotiations:
      • Lighthizer believes that the U.S. has significant leverage over its trading partners due to their dependency on the U.S. market. He argues that tariffs can be used as a bargaining tool to secure better trade terms and ensure that trade partners adhere to agreements that benefit the U.S. economy
    2. Reducing Trade Deficits:
      • One of Lighthizer’s primary goals has been to reduce the U.S.’s systemic trade deficits with countries like China and Japan. He views tariffs as an effective means to address these imbalances by making imported goods more expensive and encouraging domestic production
    3. Protecting American Jobs:
      • Lighthizer argues that tariffs help protect American jobs by making it less attractive for companies to outsource production to countries with lower labor costs. By imposing tariffs, he believes that more jobs can be retained within the U.S., benefiting American workers
    4. National Security:
      • He also sees tariffs as a way to protect national security by reducing dependency on foreign goods, particularly in critical industries such as technology and defense. This approach aims to ensure that the U.S. maintains control over essential supply chains
    5. Countering Unfair Trade Practices:
      • Lighthizer has been vocal about using tariffs to counter what he perceives as unfair trade practices by other countries, such as intellectual property theft and state subsidies. He believes that tariffs can pressure these countries to change their practices and create a more level playing field for U.S. businesses

    Lighthizer’s approach to tariffs is rooted in the belief that they can be a powerful tool to achieve economic self-reliance, protect American jobs, and secure better trade deals for the United States.

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